METEOROLOGIST JEFF HABY
What do I need to look for on this chart?:
**Chart is good for assessing low level warm air and cold air advection
1. Advection is a function of height contour spacing, the
temperature gradient, and the angle isotherms cross height
contours
2. Low level warm air advection contributes to
synoptic scale rising air; Low level cold air advection contributes to synoptic
scale sinking air
**Region of strong thermal gradient gives indication of 850 millibar front and regions of
convergence
**Look for convergence, divergence, confluence, and diffluence
1. Air rises due to low level convergence and confluence
**Use
dewpoint depression to determine if
atmosphere is near saturation or dry at this level
**Determine intensity of highs and lows
1. Deep low (surrounded by several height contours)
2. Deep high (surrounded by several height contours) covering a large spatial area
3. Disregard highs and lows not surrounded by at least one
isohypse
4. Several highs located near each other indicates one broad area of high pressure and not a scattering of
individual highs
For locations close to sea level, the 850 mb chart represents the top (or close to the top) of the
planetary boundary layer. In the PBL,
friction and turbulent motion eddies
are common. The wind blows at a more constant
speed and direction above the 850 mb level. In high elevations areas such as the High Plains and Mountainous
West, the 850 mb level will be near the surface or even below the surface. The 850 mb chart is used as a proxy
for the surface chart at high elevation areas while the 700 mb chart is used as a proxy for
the 850 mb chart.
The most intense thermal advections will be found in the low levels of the atmosphere. These thermal advections
are termed either warm air advection (WAA) or cold air advection (CAA). The two isopleths displayed on the 850
chart are isotherms and height contours. The combination of these two isopleths determines the amount of thermal
advection.
Thermal advection is a function
of three factors: (1) the temperature gradient, (2) the height contour spacing
and (3) the angle the isotherms make with the height contours. The temperature gradient is determined by how
close the isotherms are to each other. Closely spaced isotherms increase the rate of thermal advection, especially
if the wind is strong and blowing through the thermal gradient. The height contour spacing determines the
strength of the wind. Closely spaced height
contours will lead to stronger winds and the potential for a higher thermal advection. The third factor is the
angle of isotherms to height contours. If isotherms are perpendicular to height contours then the advection potential
is higher.
Thermal advection is maximized by the combination of:
1. Closely spaced isotherms
2. Closely spaced height contours
3. Isotherms perpendicular to height contours
Thermal advection is minimized by the combination of:
1. Widely spaced isotherms
2. Widely spaced height contours
3. Isotherms parallel to height contours
The next stage is to determine whether the advection is cold air or warm air advection. If isotherms are approaching
your point of interest that are colder than the temperature at your point of interest, then it is cold air advection.
If the isotherms are warmer, then it is warm air advection.
An important parameter to study on the 850 chart is the dewpoint depression. Each reporting station will give a
value of the temperature and dewpoint depression in degrees Celsius. Suppose it is 17 Celsius with a 25 degree
dewpoint depression. To find the dewpoint, subtract the dewpoint depression from the temperature. The dewpoint
is 17 - 25 = -8 ° C. If the dewpoint depression is small at the surface and 850 mb, then the depth of near saturated
conditions extends through the entire PBL, depending on elevation. Some 850 charts will show the temperature and
dewpoint (not dewpoint depression). The
dewpoint is always less than or equal
to the temperature.
There will be a scattering of highs and lows across the 850 chart. The key is to eliminate the highs and lows which
are not significant. Lows with several height contours surrounding them are significant while those without contours
are not key weather players at the moment or represent only a slight relative minimum of pressure. High pressure
covers a larger area than low pressure. At times you may see several high pressure over a broad region. These
highs can be grouped together into one high pressure region.
Below is a list of items that can make you a better forecaster:
WATCH FOR:
Watch for
return flow from the Gulf of
Mexico. Often models have difficulty replacing a dry stable air mass with a warm
and humid airmass in a quick time frame. When high pressure moves into the SE US, the clockwise flow will force
Gulf air into the US. The same goes for lows transporting moisture out of the Gulf of Mexico.
This rapid flux of
moisture and warm air advection can bring unexpected precipitation the models did not
pick up.
WATCH FOR:
Watch for height falls and height rises. Low
pressure tends to develop toward the greater height falls. Height
rises indicate low pressure is leaving or a ridge is building.
Location of 850 mb charts on the Internet given below
850 DIFAX
850 GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS
850 MODEL INITIALIZATION
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