ANALYZING A STRONG LOW PRESSURE
ON MODEL PROGS
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METEOROLOGIST JEFF HABY
A strong area of low pressure will have many
isobars encircling it on a
surface chart and several height contours
encircling it on the
850 mb and
700 mb level progs. The isobars or height contours will create a "oval" shaped pattern
(kinking of contours occurs in association with warm and cold front boundary). The
thickness pattern will have an
"S" shaped appearance (or side-ways S pattern). This occurs due to strong
WAA in the warm sector of the mid-latitude
cyclone raising heights and
CAA in the cold sector lowering heights. This same "S" pattern will be noticeable for
low-level temperature and
dewpoint also.
link to UNISYS MODELS
A well-amplified
trough will show up at the
500 millibar and
300 millibar
levels. In a well-developed cyclone, the region of
lowest heights will tilt with height in the troposphere. This
occurs because of cold dense air located to the west and northwest of the low-level cyclone. A mass of cold dense
low-level air and its associated CAA will result in lowering heights above this air. A deep mid-latitude cyclone
will have well defined fronts and a well-defined synoptic scale precipitation pattern surrounding the low and along
the fronts. A strong low has in association with it, these uplift mechanisms:
low level convergence due to fronts
and
friction, low level WAA, possible
moisture advection in warm sector,
shortwaves ( also see
pressure troughs) along well
developed frontal boundaries,
curvature and shear vorticity, and
jet streaks developed by
a strong
thermal gradient.
The release of
latent heat will enhance the low pressure's development. Most of the UVV action takes place to the
right of the 700-mb trough axis since this region experiences the low level WAA, frontal uplift, and
PVA. Since a
deep low pressure is cold cored and thus has rising air throughout most of the troposphere, RH
(850 to 500 mb RH)
values will be relatively high. Watching a strong mid-latitude cyclone develop on the model progs truly is pure
enjoyment!
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