THE JET STREAM AND SUPERCELLS
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METEOROLOGIST JEFF HABY
The jet stream is an important component to supercell enhancement and propagation. The ingredients for a
thunderstorm are
moisture,
instability and
lift. A supercell has an extra ingredient of
wind shear. The jet
stream produces strong vertical wind shear. The low levels of the troposphere may have winds 2 to 3 times as
less as the wind in the core of the jet. When a thunderstorm develops, the top of the storm will feel a stronger
wind than the base. This tilts the thunderstorm as it rises in the vertical. Tilting of storms make them more
potentially severe because the
updraft is displaced from the downdraft. When the updraft is displaced from the
downdraft, the updraft will not be cancelled by the downdraft. Shear is enhanced even further if the low-level
winds are more than a 40-degree directional difference from the jet stream winds. A
veering profile with southerly
winds in the low levels and westerly winds aloft in a strong wind environment will produce a large directional
shear. Being in a favorable quadrant (right rear or left front) of a jet streak is often over-rated. Supercells
can form in any quadrant of a jet streak.
Thermodynamic instability,
moisture convergence, and low level lifting
(WAA, fronts, etc.) may far outweigh any convergence produced aloft by the left rear and right front quadrants
of a jet streak. This is especially true for low-topped mini-supercells. The middle and upper level wind is the
steering wind for storms. Supercells tend to follow about 30 degrees to the right of the mean 700
to 500 millibar wind.
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