DEWPOINT AS A FORECASTING TOOL
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METEOROLOGIST JEFF HABY
Dewpoint is a powerful forecasting tool. The amount of moisture in the air
and the percent of saturation of the air
influence temperature patterns. The dewpoint can be used to forecast low temperatures. The low will rarely fall far
below the observed dewpoint value in the evening (unless a front brings in a different air mass). Once the temperature
drops to the dewpoint, latent heat must be
released to the air for the condensation process to take effect. This
addition of heat offsets some or all of further cooling. This is especially true for dewpoints above 55 degrees.
If the dewpoint happens to be much lower than the temperature, the air will
cool off much more rapidly at night than if
the dewpoint was closer to the temperature in the evening. This is why dry regions such as the high plains and desert
regions have such large differences between the high and low temperature. Moist areas, such as regions near the coast
tend to have a smaller spread between the high and low temperature. If the air has a high moisture content, some
longwave radiation emitted by the earth's surface will be radiated back toward the surface.
Water vapor is a greenhouse
gas. This is another reason humid (especially warm / humid) places have much warmer lows than dry locations at about
the same elevation and latitude. If dew is very
heavy in the morning, the temperature will not rise as quickly when
compared to situations when there is no dew. This is because as dew evaporates, it cools the surrounding air (absorbs
latent heat). Eventually the sunshine will overpower the cooling produced by evaporation, but the temperature will
be cooler than a location that did not experience any dew. Transpiration from trees also absorbs latent heat. This
is a primary reason why dry areas at the same altitude and latitude as moist locations tend to have warmer high
temperatures.
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