METEOROLOGIST JEFF HABY
In the forecasting process, studying the
MOS (Model Output Statistics) data should be one of
the final sources of data studied. The MOS
data is EXTREMELY convenient to use to make forecasts. As far as a forecast process, it basically requires no
effort to develop a forecast using only MOS data. The problem with only using MOS data is it can not make one
a better forecaster. If the MOS is wrong, the forecast is guaranteed to be wrong. Use MOS as a tool to compare
your prepared forecast that has been made using meteorological principles, analysis / forecast charts, and intuition
gained through experience. You can adjust the forecast after examining MOS if you think MOS is picking up one or
more processes that was overlooked.
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