THERMODYNAMIC INSTABILITY
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METEOROLOGIST JEFF HABY
Thermodynamic instability is created by either increasing the rate of cooling with height or adding
moisture to
the low levels of the atmosphere. Either
warm air advection in the low levels of the atmosphere or cold air advection
in the middle and upper levels of the atmosphere OR a combination of both can increase the rate of cooling with
height. Warm air advection is a quasi-horizontal wind which advects (or brings) warmer air into the forecast region.
If low level warm air advection is accompanied by moisture advection, it is just that more
unstable.
In the standard
atmosphere, the temperature decreases with height. Why then doesn't precipitation develop almost every day since
cold upper level air is just about always above surface warm air? It is not enough just to have cold air above warm
air. There must be a
trigger mechanism such as a front or
low-level convergence /
upper-level divergence that causes
the air to rise OR the cold air must be much colder than the low level warm air (creating a steep enough lapse rate
to produce convection and positive
CAPE). When a forecaster mentions the atmosphere is becoming thermodynamically
unstable, the forecaster is referring to a temperature profile of the atmosphere which is increasing in positive CAPE,
is increasing in low level temperature and moisture, and/or a trigger mechanism (such as daytime heating, low-level
convergence,
upper level jet, positive vorticity advection) will in the near future cause low level air to rise into the upper levels
producing
deep convection in an environment with
instability.
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