|WEATHER FORECASTING FACTS
1. If there's a 50-50 chance that a forecast will go wrong, 9 times
out of 10 it will.
2. No matter how the forecast turns out - there's always another
forecaster who "knew it would"
3. The forecaster who "knew it would happen that way", never told
anyone else about it before hand.
4. The unwritten forecast is always the one that verifies best.
5. No two weather patterns are alike, although someone will remember
one just like this that occurred back in '84.
6. Prog charts are like clocks:
...if you only have one, you always know exactly what time it is.
...if you have more than one - you're never sure.
7. Time savers don't.
Work savers won't.
Short cuts aren't.
8. A storm will develop only after it has been forecasted for several
Days... then not mentioned.
9. Heavy snow will generally end once a winter storm warning has been
10. Rules of thumb work best on someone else's shift.
11. You never notice the "glitch" in the forecast wording until after
you've pressed the enter button.
12. No matter how far in advanced you forecast a significant storm,
the media will always call it unexpected.
13. When in doubt:
...mumble a lot
...talk with food in your mouth
...change the DTG and reissue
14. Additional newly found data will always screw up a good analysis.
15. Always pass the buck to the shift that you just relieved (or to
16. I don't care what guidance says - I always make up my forecast
while I'm driving to work.
17. Total confusion frequently results in outstanding performance.
18. Murphy's law: the disk you needed more data from... you
19. If you get a "gut feeling" about a forecast - its probably
20. When writing a forecast discussion make it so long that no one
will bother to read it.
21. Never say "NEVER"
22. If everything in the office worked as well as the fridge and
microwave, this would be a great place to work!
23. Bribing the observer will only be tolerated from just before,
until just after verification times.
24. Remember - all extended forecasts fall into the realm of make